MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18af55b4dde40c3bde364a68e0dd204e925f1e23d6ed1670e52d1c101f4a93fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Milwaukee Brewers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 4,650$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.17 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 32c | 4,308$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 3,362$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 53c | 2,825$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.67 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 1,351$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 1,147$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.55 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 1,083$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.86 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 52c | 1,010$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Athletics | 58c | 978.97$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.17 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 59c | 978.11$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 50c | 843.93$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.06 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 836.28$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 34c | 537.88$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.98 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 57c | 321.88$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Athletics | 50c | 305.1$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 57c | 260.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Athletics | 35c | 258.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Athletics | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 194.59$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 187.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 175.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 167.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 154.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics | 58c | 146$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 141.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 23c | 136.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Athletics | 54c | 122.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 57c | 115.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 38c | 110.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 98.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Athletics | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Athletics | 58c | 80.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 58c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 70.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Athletics | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 52.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Athletics | 40c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Athletics | 37c | 41.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 40.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 40.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Athletics | 34c | 40.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Athletics | 39c | 38.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Athletics | 57c | 36.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Athletics | 34c | 34.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Athletics | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 24.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 23.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 22.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Athletics | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Athletics | 58c | 17.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…f4cdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.