MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x285c864b9bd5c97db73924502a9a41c85a5d7278a09decbc9a1f9c050c47888b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 42c | 25,955$10,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,054.14 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 43c | 22,361$9,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,745.7 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 57c | 17,186$9,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850.97 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 58c | 15,273$8,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,858.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 58c | 9,557$5,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,543.06 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 5,938$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.72 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 4,994$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.66 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 57c | 1,104$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.61 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 58c | 1,053$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.53 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 58c | 964.91$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.65 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 689.61$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.8 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 57c | 688.7$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.56 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Over | 57c | 600$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Under | 43c | 579.61$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.76 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 56c | 569.97$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 531.29$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.27 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 41c | 395$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 57c | 370$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 329$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 250.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Under | 45c | 220.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 194 | 35.6%69 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 54c | 161.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 42c | 154$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 152.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 58c | 119$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 57c | 117.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 59c | 97.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 94.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…c784backed Under | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 41c | 45.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 39c | 40.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 38.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…30edbacked Under | 40c | 37.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…2573backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 20.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 57c | 18.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.