TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$365,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under49c176,441$85,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,498.943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c115,000$55,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,799.9441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over52c110,000$57,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,20031149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c35,236$18,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,056.2211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c33,684$17,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,515.694,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4003100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c16,000$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1601,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Over51c13,000$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6302142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over51c12,273$6,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,284.324,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c10,724$5,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,576.481,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over52c9,155$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.5132251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c8,042$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.546,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over51c7,777$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.2747953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c7,731$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,823.878,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c6,722$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.914,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over56c6,000$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.4348451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over51c5,414$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.563,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c5,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5805,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c4,109$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.1312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c4,009$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.6810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5739047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over51c3,266$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.661,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c2,942$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.421,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c2,898$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.438,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over49c1,946$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.544,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,521$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.446,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over52c1,471$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.7138353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c1,345$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.822,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Over47c1,279$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.311127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56170744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over52c1,078$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7887750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.717349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under48c991.33$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4928154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over43c962.21$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.653,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c860$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99b…52b2backed Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under48c799.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4162,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c729.2$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8968053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2413354.9%73 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over53c558.95$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0619752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Over50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25539440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2559,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b92…7c8fbacked Over50c492.44$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.547058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over52c427.79$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4529354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over52c422$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.261,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20430048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over51c388.23$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Over51c385.33$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.528245.1%37 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Under50c380$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19013759.1%81 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over56c361.49$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.741,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over51c330$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.386548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over52c320.83$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8336250.3%182 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over52c318$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3672648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15399447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over51c285.57$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.642,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under72c277$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5611662.9%73 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.42,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over18c216.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.912,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over56c216.11$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0219842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10216552.7%87 W · 78 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Under49c167.54$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8210559%62 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Under49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.061442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over46c146.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.56,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over8c139.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9554715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under48c135$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.82,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over52c117.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.172941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over57c111.51$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5966056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Over51c101.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7611948.7%58 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5225260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9958652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over55c98.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.922,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over52c96.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.31,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9214759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Under48c90.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.549639.6%38 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c88.04$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.043,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Under49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.726747.9%128 W · 139 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…e7c8backed Under58c65.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.372360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a8…c784backed Under55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.643046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba56…10e8backed Under48c60.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.315540.6%63 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6539053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Over49c59.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9314353.1%76 W · 67 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Over51c58.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.557152.1%37 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under43c57.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.135,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Over50c49.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0213357.9%77 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f7…a9a9backed Over52c48.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-54.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under67c47.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.821,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.