MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd3fe52dd6951c383f504df2d4e1604c69934cb981e7280aa95628e6e657edeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 176,441$85,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,498.9 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 115,000$55,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,799.94 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 52c | 110,000$57,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,200 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 35,236$18,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,056.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 33,684$17,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,515.69 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 12,273$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.32 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 10,724$5,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576.48 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 52c | 9,155$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.51 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 8,042$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 51c | 7,777$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.27 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 7,731$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 6,722$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 56c | 6,000$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.43 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 5,414$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 4,109$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 4,009$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.66 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 2,942$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.42 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 2,898$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 1,946$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,521$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 52c | 1,471$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.71 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 1,345$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.82 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Over | 47c | 1,279$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 52c | 1,078$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.78 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 48c | 991.33$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.49 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 962.21$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.65 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 860$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…52b2backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 729.2$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.89 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 53c | 558.95$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.06 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Over | 50c | 492.44$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.54 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 52c | 427.79$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 422$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.26 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 51c | 388.23$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 51c | 385.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Under | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 56c | 361.49$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.74 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 52c | 320.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 318$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 51c | 285.57$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 72c | 277$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 18c | 216.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 56c | 216.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 49c | 167.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 146.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 8c | 139.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over | 52c | 117.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 57c | 111.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Over | 51c | 101.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…88e8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 55c | 98.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 52c | 96.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 48c | 90.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 88.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Under | 58c | 65.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…c784backed Under | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Under | 48c | 60.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 49c | 59.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Over | 51c | 58.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 57.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Over | 50c | 49.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…a9a9backed Over | 52c | 48.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 67c | 47.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.