NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb544d00e1811314416e1a11190e636cb4c320548a59af8b808ed95cc322bf810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 79c | 3,646$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 23c | 3,285$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…5816backed Under | 23c | 2,328$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 19c | 2,090$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.44 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 77c | 958.99$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 35c | 954.77$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 75c | 851.41$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 21c | 803.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 16c | 777.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 78c | 743.91$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…8d00backed Under | 23c | 736.61$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 22c | 463.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 21c | 457.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Under | 22c | 430.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 78c | 395.24$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…b17cbacked Over | 78c | 282.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 65c | 279.84$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 18c | 260$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 78c | 258$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 79c | 255.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 77c | 255.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Under | 18c | 224.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 15c | 191.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 80c | 187.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 14c | 180.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…0191backed Over | 78c | 165.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3639backed Over | 78c | 151.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 28c | 140.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…1475backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Under | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 23c | 95.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 22c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Over | 80c | 86.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…4ce9backed Over | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525b…c7c7backed Over | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdc…be3bbacked Over | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5727…12fdbacked Over | 72c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 17c | 70.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…2c1dbacked Over | 79c | 59.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 22c | 47.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Over | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 79c | 30.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 57c | 23.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x719f…e3c6backed Over | 78c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 79c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f09…4f73backed Over | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…1a3bbacked Over | 78c | 13.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…c36dbacked Over | 78c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1562…b34ebacked Over | 78c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…9750backed Over | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 3.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 8.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-4.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.