MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340410dfd0d9e94037efc41f64fc89cae7150c245f1c0561b42b73bd6fa1bac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Philadelphia Phillies, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 18,181$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,861.93 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 16,001$7,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,384.74 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 14,149$6,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,215.94 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 12,725$6,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,742.67 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 9,193$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,509.48 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 6,153$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.6 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 5,012$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.75 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 4,615$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 3,465$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,346$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 2,957$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 2,927$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.54 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 2,553$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.1 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 2,313$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.5 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,244$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.32 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,032$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,769$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.43 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,483$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.36 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,443$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.84 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 1,137$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.69 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 1,131$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,106$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.18 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 1,073$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.17 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,017$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.39 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…c884backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 856.52$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 739.24$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 735.29$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 677$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 640$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 624.56$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 619.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 552.63$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.42 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 549.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 531.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 495$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 488.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.92 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 479.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 469.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 443.63$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 419.97$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 415.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.07 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 412.38$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…4778backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 388.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 387.73$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 379.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 379.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 364$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 356.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 339.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 301.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 298.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 287.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 272$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 251$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 245.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 238.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…ad70backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 234$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 229.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 226$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 220.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 219.35$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 216$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 211.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 208.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 184$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 181.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 169.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 167.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 150.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 145.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 141.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 140.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 140.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 134.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 129.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 142 | 61.3%87 W · 55 L | +18.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 126.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 115.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 113.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 109.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.