TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Milwaukee Brewersof Philadelphia Phillies, Milwaukee Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers61c446.28$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.052,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15669351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.59,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies38c240.21$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Milwaukee Brewers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2952947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Philadelphia Phillies39c149.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5868942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Milwaukee Brewers62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0316844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Milwaukee Brewers63c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9866551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Milwaukee Brewers63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1167449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies37c104.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.523,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Philadelphia Phillies11c101$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9257747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers69c78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.185,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers61c69.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.952,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Milwaukee Brewers61c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7447848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Milwaukee Brewers62c62.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.946659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0887…28f3backed Milwaukee Brewers62c50.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2215452.6%81 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Philadelphia Phillies40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Milwaukee Brewers62c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1985949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked Milwaukee Brewers62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3945348.6%220 W · 233 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7763…125abacked Milwaukee Brewers62c36.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.87875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2052…d016backed Milwaukee Brewers61c33.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a9…4289backed Milwaukee Brewers61c32.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd15…d9c0backed Milwaukee Brewers62c32.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a6…a57cbacked Milwaukee Brewers62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.16850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79c…b036backed Milwaukee Brewers61c31.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.441947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick65cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…6da5backed Milwaukee Brewers62c31.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4c…25e6backed Milwaukee Brewers61c31.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc276…1c52backed Milwaukee Brewers61c31.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5c…0380backed Milwaukee Brewers61c31.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed4d…86c3backed Milwaukee Brewers62c31.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd710…c75ebacked Milwaukee Brewers61c31.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x862c…72a1backed Milwaukee Brewers62c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4bc…afb5backed Milwaukee Brewers61c30.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.971050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc52…5bd3backed Milwaukee Brewers62c30.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.591450%7 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb351…d62abacked Milwaukee Brewers62c30.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb703…0366backed Milwaukee Brewers61c30.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd954…5982backed Milwaukee Brewers61c30.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…24a8backed Milwaukee Brewers61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x614e…f65abacked Milwaukee Brewers62c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f1…c7f6backed Milwaukee Brewers62c29.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90bd…cc0abacked Milwaukee Brewers61c29.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x086a…2fc0backed Milwaukee Brewers61c29.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4da…3261backed Milwaukee Brewers62c29.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9683…7009backed Milwaukee Brewers61c29.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec2…3732backed Milwaukee Brewers61c28.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3f…c729backed Milwaukee Brewers61c28.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed9c…7854backed Milwaukee Brewers61c28.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6833…bb84backed Milwaukee Brewers61c27.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfe2…49d1backed Milwaukee Brewers61c26.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7fbcbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c26.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb611…e22dbacked Milwaukee Brewers62c26.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.18757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c5…436cbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c26.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa63f…ced7backed Milwaukee Brewers61c25.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae70…8194backed Milwaukee Brewers61c25.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Philadelphia Phillies40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6384…f6f5backed Milwaukee Brewers61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0008…c072backed Milwaukee Brewers61c24.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1851…8ba7backed Milwaukee Brewers61c24.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick70cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2878…8698backed Milwaukee Brewers61c23.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.281070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbc…fc9cbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c23.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f6f…44e9backed Milwaukee Brewers61c23.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.131752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8174…32dbbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c23.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.09988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0762…e8c1backed Milwaukee Brewers61c23.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2625…e320backed Milwaukee Brewers61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa290…7920backed Milwaukee Brewers61c22.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Milwaukee Brewers62c22.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5889950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4d…a945backed Milwaukee Brewers61c22.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.661471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6c…88a0backed Milwaukee Brewers63c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.231338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3096…093cbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x788b…25a6backed Milwaukee Brewers61c21.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick59cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31a0…85a8backed Milwaukee Brewers61c21.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.391070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fa…bb82backed Milwaukee Brewers62c21.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f0…19f2backed Milwaukee Brewers61c21.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.27988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cee…7599backed Milwaukee Brewers61c20.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.672154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc106…19a6backed Milwaukee Brewers61c19.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4901…b52dbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c19.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.531392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick63cpaid+48.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf041…c43bbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.