MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70163c26493bede705f826c22b2568624e797315e2cbb1e9c0df8a309bf3c42b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $716,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $701,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $716,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37d3…709abacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 161,155$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.36 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 78,000$42,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,879.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 33,383$12,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,780.86 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,099.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 24,089$11,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,337.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 21,247$9,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,986 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 20,503$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.25 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 17,812$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.11 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 15,756$6,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 15,170$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 14,931$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 14,864$11,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.56 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 14,536$5,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,966.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 13,962$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,562.26 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 13,953$6,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,418.38 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 11,415$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 10,500$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.86 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 8,976$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 8,537$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.99 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 7,961$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.65 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 6,880$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 28c | 6,299$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 5,962$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 5,876$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.29 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 5,829$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.37 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 5,383$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 5,045$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 5,034$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.31 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 4,901$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.45 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 4,852$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.32 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 4,548$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 4,323$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.74 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,294$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.33 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 3,151$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,863$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,243$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.41 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,217$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.11 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 1,913$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,903$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.82 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 19c | 1,825$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.89 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,660$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.62 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,458$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.47 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 1,350$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.83 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 1,302$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.39 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,300$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.1 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,213$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.57 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…6219backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 1,088$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,073$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.48 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,000$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 943.26$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.83 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 938.35$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 916.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 893.77$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 857.74$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.56 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 840$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 821.32$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 816$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 792.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 777$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.42 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 750.66$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.55 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 700.22$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.71 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 679.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.24 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 675.5$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 633$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.34 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 618.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 614.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 610$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 600.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 536.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 536.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 510.87$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 508$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 504.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 484$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 480$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 23c | 467.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 434.84$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee4…4d81backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 423.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.