MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3982e40264b1da8600cf6bec47d29792518a1125162ca5a9dbb823ea563ec7dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 53,450$16,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,129.83 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 34,010$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.33 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 75c | 29,293$21,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,390.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 52c | 14,069$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.23 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Kansas City Royals | 6c | 14,056$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.42 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 51c | 12,800$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.92 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 61c | 10,469$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 10,203$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 6,235$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.66 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.83 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Houston Astros | 52c | 3,328$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.71 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 3,026$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.74 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 53c | 3,025$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.53 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 2,686$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.63 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 14c | 2,663$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 61c | 2,183$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,797$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…8a0dbacked Kansas City Royals | 14c | 1,768$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,383$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,321$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.96 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 74c | 1,266$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.31 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Kansas City Royals | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 1,124$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Houston Astros | 77c | 1,117$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,080$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.73 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Houston Astros | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 51c | 920.06$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.83 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 810$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 759.22$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.43 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 729.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Houston Astros | 52c | 692.3$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.3 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Houston Astros | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 670.08$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.74 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…8c3ebacked Kansas City Royals | 7c | 654.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 648.16$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.56 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Kansas City Royals | 11c | 586.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Houston Astros | 77c | 507.35$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…6e68backed Kansas City Royals | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Kansas City Royals | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Kansas City Royals | 5c | 490.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 487.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Kansas City Royals | 4c | 475$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 470.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Kansas City Royals | 15c | 445.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Kansas City Royals | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…d749backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 405.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 399.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 379$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 371.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 350.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 318$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Houston Astros | 79c | 315.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Houston Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Houston Astros | 50c | 273.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 260.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 249.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 233.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kansas City Royals | 14c | 232.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 213$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 209.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Kansas City Royals | 14c | 209$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fb…2042backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…26cebacked Kansas City Royals | 21c | 208.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Houston Astros | 51c | 200.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Houston Astros | 50c | 195$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Astros | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Houston Astros | 64c | 172.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 165.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Houston Astros | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 54c | 150.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Houston Astros | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 149.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…072dbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 148.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 142.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 138.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 135.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…84cbbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.