MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7180c163f26020820fcbc6813fa8617fb22e24bd44682d361fee0a1bee25ce34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Seattle Mariners, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 372,694$178,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,893.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 113,508$59,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,483.69 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 106,644$55,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,797.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 23,000$11,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,170 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 15,242$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 14,287$7,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,857.88 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 11,536$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.3 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 10,669$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.03 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 10,424$6,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.19 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 6,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 5,503$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.76 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 5,400$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 5,225$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.41 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 4,791$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.57 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 4,079$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.43 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 3,929$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 3,595$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 21c | 2,966$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.38 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 2,952$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.59 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,632$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.26 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,560$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 2,440$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,301$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.69 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.95 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 2,180$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,105$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.25 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,097$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 2,076$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 2,043$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.9 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 2,030$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.83 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 1,933$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 1,905$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 1,885$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.29 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 1,820$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.16 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 1,689$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.74 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 1,660$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.78 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,519$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.28 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,501$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.23 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,428$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.31 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,398$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.08 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 1,159$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 1,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.08 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 867.92$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.92 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 810$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.9 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 798$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 776$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.76 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 731.29$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 731.04$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.83 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 695.13$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.23 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 640$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 627.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.44 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 624.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 620$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 600$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 600$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 575.81$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 563.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.66 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 540.44$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 501.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 478$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 477$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.19 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Seattle Mariners | 7c | 467.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 456.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 452.42$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 439.59$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 420$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 375.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 368$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 360$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 327.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 326.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.52 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 303.86$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.