MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39538bd435487a591c5fe326359f039050d1603837775317eaa852f1ce84a2b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof San Diego Padres, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $718,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $718,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 449,377$186,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,848.78 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 224,415$131,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,567.05 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 55,555$32,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,777.55 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,500 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 37,807$22,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,292.69 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 26,139$15,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,978.34 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 21,459$13,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,569.66 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 18,754$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.46 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 17,881$10,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.02 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 17,745$7,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,452.9 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 15,503$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 14,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 10,743$6,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.63 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 10,020$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.47 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 7,394$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.32 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 7,115$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.55 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 6,239$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.96 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres | 0c | 5,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…36d7backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 4,747$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 4,327$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.9 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 3,993$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.27 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 3,186$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.12 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 2,892$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.69 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 2,675$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.07 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 2,663$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 2,471$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.26 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,351$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.63 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,991$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.22 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 1,841$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.88 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,755$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.75 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,705$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.08 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 1,660$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.58 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,584$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.91 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,500$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,170$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.23 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,149$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 1,110$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.35 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 1,049$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.14 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,035$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.35 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 1,017$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.33 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,000$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.66 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 988.49$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.28 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 804.98$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.04 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 800$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.79 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 720.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.77 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 702$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 679.37$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.75 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 650$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 638.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 630.47$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 626.31$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.06 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 609$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 543.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 517.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 514.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 508.69$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked San Diego Padres | 8c | 489.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 455.62$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 455$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 452.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 439.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 431$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 425$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 424.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 416.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 412.5$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.13 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 387.46$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 335.39$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 331.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 325$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 297$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 294.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 294.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 287.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 281.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 279.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 252$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 234.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.