MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc863b9f0b5f98e19acf7cf226f5e65d399c04fdb37056ea7db990733fd5cd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 27,778$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 15,242$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,925.67 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 14,349$10,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.04 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 11,929$8,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.62 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 10,574$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 8,533$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 7,783$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 7,777$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.79 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 5,644$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 5,434$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 5,165$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 4,441$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.56 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 4,323$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.09 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,250$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.07 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 4,154$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 3,280$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…10bebacked Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 3,211$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,096$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,806$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.06 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 2,735$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.85 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,336$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,034$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.63 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,976$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,799$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.78 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,757$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 1,730$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 1,720$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.01 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,672$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.93 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 1,492$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.04 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 1,433$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.39 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,387$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 1,271$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.11 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 890.44$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 807.53$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 722.22$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 690.48$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 686.56$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 627.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 624.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.35 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 585.69$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 585.39$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.11 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 563.11$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.45 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 550.83$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.45 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 493.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 430$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 425.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 360$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 333.8$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 323$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 320$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 296.92$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 290$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 278.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 274$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 256.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 255.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 253.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 240$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 237$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 228$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 205$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 204$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…2e5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 203.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 199.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 197.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 197.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…95d7backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 185$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…1fe9backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 183.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 166.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 164.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…d6bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 164.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 157.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…88e8backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 155.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 152.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 148.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 146.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 144.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad36…cb4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 142.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 141$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 140$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.