MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67700563a089f191cd117908a7681c602597fdb06d044ed23597d7d2f505ca4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Seattle Mariners, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 45,263$23,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,344.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 42,890$19,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,589.43 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 40,807$20,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,811.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 20,549$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.1 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 16,672$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,470.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 14,935$9,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,452.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 14,495$6,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 13,302$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.62 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 9,989$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493.76 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 9,726$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,430.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 8,207$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.72 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 8,205$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.8 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 7,037$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.7 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 5,391$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 4,989$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.54 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 4,138$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.13 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 3,801$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.09 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,060$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.6 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,836$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,544$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.62 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 2,463$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.26 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 2,225$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.51 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,208$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.25 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 2,161$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,133$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.95 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,091$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.35 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,951$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,886$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,857$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,824$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.44 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,684$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 1,600$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.97 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,587$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,584$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.88 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 1,423$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,292$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.92 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,267$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.23 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,111$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.48 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…dfa0backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,053$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.74 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 951.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 900.53$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.58 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 884.47$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.93 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 875.07$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.04 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 863.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 810.98$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.26 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 782.97$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.8 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 755.34$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.03 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 662.9$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 655.61$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.76 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 619.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.29 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 532.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.12 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 479.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 464.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 455.83$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 448.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 424.42$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.43 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 422.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 419.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 411.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.41 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…6e68backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 395.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 388$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 382.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.73 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 375.94$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.77 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 370$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 357.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 354.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 352.85$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 350.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.42 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 350.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 347.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 328.33$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 326$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 319.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 312.39$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 311.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 299.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 286$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 270$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.