MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea98a166b51a30b22432e87bb35a2873379bab13f9b7b04a1b12cf0a4674ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Houston Astros, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 37,601$24,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,536.44 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 29,065$15,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,682.84 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 33c | 20,202$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 48c | 15,242$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 14c | 12,083$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Houston Astros | 27c | 11,111$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 10,723$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.86 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Houston Astros | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 6,200$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 5,833$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 5,595$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.6 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Houston Astros | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 5,193$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.55 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 4,200$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 11c | 4,021$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.08 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,647$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.78 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…053cbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 3,492$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 34c | 3,028$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,135$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 2,032$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.21 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 6c | 1,932$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 1,863$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.02 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,829$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,671$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.78 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,580$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 1,310$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.4 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Houston Astros | 1c | 1,158$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Houston Astros | 12c | 1,009$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 975.76$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.36 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 5c | 937.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 855.62$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.7 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 854$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 10c | 830.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Houston Astros | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.25 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 628.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Houston Astros | 16c | 600$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Houston Astros | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 563.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.66 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 512.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 25c | 503.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 502.02$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Houston Astros | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 24c | 459.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…6e68backed Houston Astros | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 419.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Houston Astros | 9c | 396.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 368$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 341.58$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.96 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 310$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 299.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Houston Astros | 7c | 290.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 12c | 285.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 277$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…ee7ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 261.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 253.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 234.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 222$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Houston Astros | 36c | 218.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 212.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Houston Astros | 7c | 211$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 208.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Houston Astros | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 192$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Houston Astros | 47c | 172.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Houston Astros | 24c | 168.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 152.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Houston Astros | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 146.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 139.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 47c | 139.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 136.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Houston Astros | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Houston Astros | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 26c | 129.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 126.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Houston Astros | 22c | 121.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.