TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$328,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under48c276,642$133,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,884.1343647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c111,657$57,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,752.511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c36,470$18,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,599.82,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed Over52c34,000$17,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,530742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over53c23,881$12,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,657.174940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over51c21,000$10,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7107441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over52c15,503$8,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,061.5584049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over52c14,444$7,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,510.881,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over52c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,24015148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c4,617$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.131,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c3,598$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.056,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over52c3,334$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.851,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994b…c047backed Over53c3,162$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.864257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c2,995$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.345,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c2,855$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.111,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c2,689$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.038,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c2,502$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c2,063$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.3112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over52c1,970$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.4111256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c1,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.622,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc158…cdffbacked Over20c1,599$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c1,485$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.41,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over54c1,267$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68439047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c1,043$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.111,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4086855.9%38 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Over53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42460%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Over52c694$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.887750.6%39 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over50c588$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.212,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26511347.8%54 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over52c484.61$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.121,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over52c465$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.875049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c397.03$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.768,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c325$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over52c320$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.413452.2%70 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over53c302.83$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.181,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under53c274.34$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9429547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over50c264.49$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13222450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6b…6b56backed Under48c209.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.22937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over52c199.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7982551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Over53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.748354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Under63c161.32$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1230963.1%195 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over53c146.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4240148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over49c135.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.666,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under49c125.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5575344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over51c117.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.422,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under48c107.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9920044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1724646.7%115 W · 131 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5270744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5361948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5378454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over52c77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0421353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9272247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.291,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over44c58.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4637747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8087…6d7abacked Under48c53.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…4ed8backed Over20c51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1673748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over52c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over53c45.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.939344.3%174 W · 219 L-22.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over54c42.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.99549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6721554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Over53c41.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2217460.3%105 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4272648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under56c36.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9167453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Over41c32.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.499735.1%34 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over41c31.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331052.6%163 W · 147 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over49c31.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2820852.9%110 W · 98 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.255847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1663943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under48c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4614245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked Under48c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.484040%16 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7649942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Over52c27.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Over40c27.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.876248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c26.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.183,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over51c25.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.922849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3667742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over53c20.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.831,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.614146.1%65 W · 76 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.423750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.