MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x172ecfd41bd0ccee38763881cd0504e0443e917370ee593c680d08a53fae33c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 276,642$133,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,884.13 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 111,657$57,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,752.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 51c | 36,470$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.8 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Over | 52c | 34,000$17,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,530 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 53c | 23,881$12,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,657.17 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 21,000$10,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 52c | 15,503$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,061.55 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 14,444$7,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,510.88 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 4,617$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.13 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 3,598$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 3,334$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.85 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 53c | 3,162$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.86 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,995$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 2,855$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.11 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 2,689$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 2,502$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 2,063$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 52c | 1,970$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.41 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 1,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.62 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…cdffbacked Over | 20c | 1,599$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 1,485$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.4 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 54c | 1,267$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 1,043$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.11 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 52c | 694$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.88 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 588$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 484.61$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.12 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 465$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 397.03$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 325$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 52c | 320$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 53c | 302.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 53c | 274.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 50c | 264.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Under | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 52c | 199.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 63c | 161.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 53c | 146.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 49c | 135.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 49c | 125.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 117.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 48c | 107.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 44c | 58.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…6d7abacked Under | 48c | 53.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed Over | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 53c | 45.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 54c | 42.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Over | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 56c | 36.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Over | 41c | 32.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 49c | 31.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Under | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Over | 52c | 27.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 40c | 27.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 26.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 51c | 25.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.