MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf06f37de9f3ff70645b9b3b1b76df1ec54220f268190cadf007ae94c36013c54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof New York Mets, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed New York Mets | 47c | 3,955$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,875$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.69 | 759 | 44.4%337 W · 422 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 1,801$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.56 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 1,013$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.34 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 978.53$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 862.21$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.24 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Mets | 47c | 496.59$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed New York Mets | 29c | 378.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 313.39$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New York Mets | 45c | 243$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 854 | 49.3%421 W · 433 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 45c | 178.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 175.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 70c | 136.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked New York Mets | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed New York Mets | 47c | 125.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 46c | 118.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New York Mets | 22c | 88.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Mets | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked New York Mets | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed New York Mets | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 469 | 59.5%279 W · 190 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed New York Mets | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked New York Mets | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked New York Mets | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Mets | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Mets | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Mets | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 78c | 49.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 45.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 40.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed New York Mets | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 37.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 32.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…4b5ebacked New York Mets | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…e861backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 24.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 3,857 | 42.3%1,632 W · 2,225 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Mets | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Colorado Rockies | 58c | 22.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed New York Mets | 53c | 20.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)this page
- New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.