TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof New York Mets, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$571,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$606,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets56c196,686$109,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,890.4710,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Colorado Rockies44c157,779$68,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,015.7321040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Colorado Rockies44c102,000$44,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,1201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets55c29,755$16,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,510.184940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies42c20,071$8,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,604.932,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets42c16,646$6,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,935.3111,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets59c12,402$7,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.141,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked New York Mets58c12,176$7,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,043.9410544.8%47 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets42c10,667$4,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,523.068,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets52c10,067$5,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,218.512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed New York Mets56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Colorado Rockies48c9,511$4,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,924.8298349.8%490 W · 493 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Colorado Rockies42c9,215$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,344.9341149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New York Mets14c8,228$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.785635.7%306 W · 550 L-24.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed New York Mets57c7,700$4,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3899350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed New York Mets53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets57c6,983$4,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,014.121,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed New York Mets58c6,864$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99913655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies41c6,596$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.62,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies50c5,633$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.893,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Colorado Rockies45c5,558$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.1128042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets48c5,431$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.2979147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets58c4,480$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.441,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Colorado Rockies43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2801,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies42c3,816$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.395,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets48c3,746$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.781,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Colorado Rockies41c3,641$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.911,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked New York Mets17c3,167$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306523.1%15 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Colorado Rockies41c2,927$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.8319250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Colorado Rockies41c2,659$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.877951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Mets56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed New York Mets56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9975049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Colorado Rockies42c2,475$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.5114647.3%69 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Colorado Rockies40c2,449$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.256845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Colorado Rockies41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.021741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Colorado Rockies80c2,107$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7847589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets57c2,105$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.892,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked New York Mets46c1,910$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.69153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Colorado Rockies42c1,871$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.197353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies42c1,800$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.376,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6f…be20backed Colorado Rockies46c1,563$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.3223454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets57c1,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9945451.3%233 W · 221 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed New York Mets44c1,290$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.62759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Colorado Rockies27c1,244$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.661,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed New York Mets5c1,213$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5917460.3%105 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies42c1,210$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.781,41843.4%616 W · 802 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets57c1,181$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.311,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked New York Mets57c1,165$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.0511347.8%54 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Colorado Rockies58c1,118$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.7557758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Mets59c1,100$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.1375248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Colorado Rockies37c1,010$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.482,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed New York Mets53c961.24$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.463053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed New York Mets59c936.06$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2811741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies40c925$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.518,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies43c920.02$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.571,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Mets56c916$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.794,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f7…2d5ebacked New York Mets22c914.88$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Colorado Rockies35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1411051.8%57 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e2…3ceabacked New York Mets59c787.99$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46511751.3%60 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets58c774.24$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.061,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…9f8fbacked New York Mets43c757.95$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.923164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+47.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked New York Mets31c737.63$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6655847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed New York Mets58c733.22$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2717452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Mets52c724.94$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8860941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies42c701$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.621,29343.5%562 W · 731 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…a73abacked Colorado Rockies28c652.48$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.265038%19 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Mets4c624.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2471850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies41c586.3$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.924,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed New York Mets58c574.71$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3329649.7%147 W · 149 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked New York Mets63c571$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3462049.2%305 W · 315 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed New York Mets58c568.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33018860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Colorado Rockies41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29519248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Colorado Rockies44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28015143%65 W · 86 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies42c495$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.651,22143.4%530 W · 691 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Colorado Rockies42c494.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1763644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies42c484.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.241,32644%583 W · 743 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies27c475.15$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.966,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Colorado Rockies28c468.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.737143.7%31 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc1e…5e1fbacked New York Mets3c461.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Colorado Rockies49c460$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.61963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Colorado Rockies64c441$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8254048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets58c405.36$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.581,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked New York Mets59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23639850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa707…9d82backed New York Mets58c379.12$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked New York Mets72c375$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8738768.5%265 W · 122 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Colorado Rockies32c375$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2557048.6%34 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Colorado Rockies41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8543247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Colorado Rockies59c364.79$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2433274.1%246 W · 86 L+28.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Mets16c363.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9767742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed New York Mets22c358.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0237941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies41c349.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.53,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked New York Mets53c339.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked New York Mets14c321.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.083040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4beb…bd08backed Colorado Rockies58c317.48$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.343666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Colorado Rockies79c314.74$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7750337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed New York Mets46c307.33$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.378350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed New York Mets59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17735449.2%174 W · 180 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed New York Mets57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1717833.3%26 W · 52 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Colorado Rockies29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21311041.8%46 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Colorado Rockies30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21050949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.