MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0f7b8a380d23da353be94a6195881972813f4198db3d1bed8ea553aa946aed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 150,000$67,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,499.99 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 55c | 126,778$69,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,050.17 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 63c | 15,000$9,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,447.97 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 12,143$6,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,485.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 10,982$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,787.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 47c | 7,370$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 56c | 7,307$4,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 5,944$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 3,748$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 43c | 3,569$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 3,280$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 3,248$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.25 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 1,700$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 1,456$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 53c | 1,374$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.34 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 1,264$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 51c | 1,112$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.07 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 1,052$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.44 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 55c | 952$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.31 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 57c | 877.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.38 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 43c | 860.81$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.8 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 58c | 777$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.68 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Over | 46c | 706$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 46c | 648.74$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.42 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 590.27$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.17 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Under | 30c | 537$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 60c | 493.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 44c | 362.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 334$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 315.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 23c | 269.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Under | 57c | 260.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 48c | 256$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 39c | 241$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 18c | 239.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 42c | 209.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Under | 54c | 193$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 56c | 178.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 43c | 139.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 131.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 108.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Under | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Under | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 40c | 100.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 43c | 97.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…7fdcbacked Over | 16c | 91.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 69c | 79.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Under | 62c | 77.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 49c | 75.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 63c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 20c | 73.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 57c | 67.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 67.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 64.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6f8fbacked Under | 50c | 60.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Under | 51c | 59.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 53c | 57.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 42c | 55.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 39c | 54.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 54c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 49c | 40.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 40c | 38.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Under | 37c | 37.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 38c | 35.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed Over | 45c | 34.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 38c | 33.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 32.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 46c | 31.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 29.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 47c | 28.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 42c | 27.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…2c19backed Over | 60c | 27.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 24.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 56c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 65c | 16.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.