WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ba98661e0312cc1ef613b8044d7a87188d77096e6383cbbba6bf378e6404f8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 17,273$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,652.93 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 15,368$7,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,683.89 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 10,477$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.5 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 50c | 7,274$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 50c | 2,771$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.56 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 2,046$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.75 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 1,861$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.65 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 49c | 1,530$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 1,263$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.25 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 1,008$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.68 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 51c | 629.41$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.41 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 50c | 600.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Under | 51c | 291.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 50c | 248.92$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 50c | 178.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 128.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 49c | 119.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Under | 52c | 113.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Under | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 73.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 51c | 51.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 49c | 44.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed Under | 52c | 37.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 29.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 49c | 24.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…fe32backed Under | 51c | 20.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.