WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f525b28fa24639968b24224726734097f162ee2dadf81da1b9d01491a4a3ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40,506$20,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,253.22 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 21,887$10,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,894.77 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 17,476$8,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,738 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 7,101$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 7,024$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.85 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 5,673$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.39 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Lynx | 59c | 3,906$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.03 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 3,612$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 3,399$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.61 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 3,253$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,028$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.92 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 1,806$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.25 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 1,734$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,422$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.35 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,421$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.83 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 1,269$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 796.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.34 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 752.79$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.37 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…c65abacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 695.46$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.52 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 452.25$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 410$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 368.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 299.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 290.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Minnesota Lynx | 67c | 222.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 202.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…cba0backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…da7bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 194.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 162.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…b45abacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 124$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky | 32c | 98.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 95.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 79.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 74.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 71.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 60.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 60.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 60.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 60.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 54.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 54.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 47.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 44.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052f…5ef8backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 35.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 25.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 25.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…3ca9backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.