WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e28181dccc2ea7d1e7d9fbfd205a1fc52e65024e2fb55e0f800d35aba7ee117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 18,700$9,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,437.64 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 53c | 7,643$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.86 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 53c | 5,436$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.65 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 50c | 2,928$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 2,327$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.25 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Under | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.3 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,126$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.48 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,949$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.22 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 50c | 1,438$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 46c | 535$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 345.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 310$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 219.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 194.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Over | 53c | 165.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 155$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Over | 54c | 154.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 145.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 60.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 58.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 48c | 25.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…7abdbacked Under | 49c | 24.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 50c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 21.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.