WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689b495e0c64c12e43bb1c3d111b925c9f21c1e7eabdc13ae7bb98590dced967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 20,112$9,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,861.18 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 8,779$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 8,500$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.96 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 6,565$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.79 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 5,758$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.08 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 5,030$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.2 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 3,816$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.44 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 2,173$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 2,097$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.64 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 2,096$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.86 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 870$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 839.87$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.13 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 788$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.52 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 594$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.76 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 474.56$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.91 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 374$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 341.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 317.62$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 205.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 186.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 150.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 147.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 140.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 129.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 126$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 116.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 114.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 107.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 103.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 84.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 83.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 71.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 71.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 66.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 58.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…a436backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 41.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 41.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 37.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 36.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…f0a9backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 33.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 32.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 30.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.