WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c5894d5e8a03e4f43ce86c36a0bc52b39678687e2d7cbc6f709c6f9a4da2825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 3,488$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.06 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 1,994$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 1,467$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.56 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.65 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…8a37backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 1,143$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 681.35$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.77 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 556.13$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.94 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 536.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 352.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Minnesota Lynx | 72c | 218.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 143.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 130.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 123$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 119.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky | 23c | 51.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 44.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Minnesota Lynx | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 28.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 21.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 43cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.