Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x930a56ca76cad6486b6583e9f08285f9f53400d1d8d1626c831545d10bb74df9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Academyof 9z Team, Leviatán Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Leviatán Academy | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.98 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed 9z Team | 36c | 3,575$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.2 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leviatán Academy | 61c | 2,401$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.75 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 9z Team | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.21 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 9z Team | 48c | 1,661$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.37 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Leviatán Academy | 37c | 1,299$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Leviatán Academy | 53c | 957.88$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.64 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z Team | 35c | 723.84$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Leviatán Academy | 51c | 723.37$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.45 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 9z Team | 42c | 720.66$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.19 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked 9z Team | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 9z Team | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed 9z Team | 49c | 486.68$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 9z Team | 58c | 479.9$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed 9z Team | 49c | 455.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Leviatán Academy | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…2dcebacked Leviatán Academy | 59c | 389.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed 9z Team | 19c | 379.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 9z Team | 42c | 371.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed 9z Team | 48c | 313.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 9z Team | 41c | 299.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Leviatán Academy | 66c | 282.49$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Leviatán Academy | 52c | 262.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Leviatán Academy | 63c | 239.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed 9z Team | 49c | 238$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Leviatán Academy | 51c | 226.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed 9z Team | 49c | 210.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Leviatán Academy | 52c | 207.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…c6c1backed 9z Team | 49c | 199.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…d6e9backed 9z Team | 49c | 187.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed 9z Team | 26c | 184.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Leviatán Academy | 50c | 169$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed 9z Team | 30c | 160.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f2…ee56backed 9z Team | 11c | 149.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked 9z Team | 46c | 144.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed 9z Team | 49c | 139.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Leviatán Academy | 51c | 136.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed 9z Team | 48c | 134.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 9z Team | 48c | 133.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…d1e5backed 9z Team | 49c | 132.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…47abbacked Leviatán Academy | 67c | 127.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Leviatán Academy | 50c | 127.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Leviatán Academy | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Leviatán Academy | 46c | 119.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed 9z Team | 49c | 114.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed 9z Team | 34c | 111.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 9z Team | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Leviatán Academy | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked 9z Team | 35c | 95.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed Leviatán Academy | 69c | 90.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Leviatán Academy | 54c | 86.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Leviatán Academy | 70c | 86.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leviatán Academy | 71c | 79.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…b069backed 9z Team | 25c | 72.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…4372backed Leviatán Academy | 63c | 70.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Leviatán Academy | 51c | 68.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed 9z Team | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 9z Team | 25c | 60.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c5…f00dbacked 9z Team | 34c | 59.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked 9z Team | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Leviatán Academy | 58c | 57.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 9z Team | 20c | 57.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked 9z Team | 26c | 48.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Leviatán Academy | 57c | 47.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed Leviatán Academy | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed Leviatán Academy | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 9z Team | 34c | 40.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked 9z Team | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed 9z Team | 49c | 39.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…d99cbacked Leviatán Academy | 77c | 38.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Leviatán Academy | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Leviatán Academy | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Leviatán Academy | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed 9z Team | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Leviatán Academy | 66c | 28.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Leviatán Academy | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb85…72a0backed Leviatán Academy | 51c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…d047backed Leviatán Academy | 59c | 22.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed 9z Team | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group Athis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Academy won
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.