MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a9941351655d544589376d57b61d278df7c9ded6d9e92d8902b502355420e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 21,600$9,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,935.95 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 54c | 19,000$10,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,739.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 18,171$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,358.84 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 14,977$6,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,878.2 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 13,514$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.71 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 7,398$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.44 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,926$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.57 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 2,919$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.93 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 2,849$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.32 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.79 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,572$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.66 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 55c | 1,266$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.7 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,063$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.81 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 45c | 1,028$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.4 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 47c | 930$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.1 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 912.62$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.68 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 42c | 773.55$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.43 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 51c | 700$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 47c | 639.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 599.96$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.98 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 54c | 546.07$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.19 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 77c | 509.67$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 463.92$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 451.07$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 380.54$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 376.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 46c | 303.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 41c | 229.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 20c | 167.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 164$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Under | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 100.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 54c | 88.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 424 | 55.4%235 W · 189 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 54c | 58.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 51.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…f901backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 46c | 44.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 42.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 46c | 40.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 46c | 32.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 54c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 54c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 20.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 53c | 19.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.