MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080a082146504eb80c0eb9617a034d0d19043facb5cb875c951543c81e6744dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 22,417$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,420.47 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 9,070$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.31 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 5,532$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.74 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 5,500$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 5,322$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 5,190$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 5,160$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.15 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 4,759$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.3 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 4,394$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.29 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 3,850$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 2,781$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.56 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 2,000$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,998$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.7 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…9156backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,925$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 1,729$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,313$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.86 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 1,180$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.08 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,119$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea0…9838backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 870.71$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 785.71$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 649.86$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 607.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 575.86$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 500$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 477$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 366.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 250.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.12 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 245.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 226.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 204.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 199.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 183.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 177$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 165$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 147.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 143$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 125.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…836abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 111$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 75.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…4aabbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 66.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 63.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…4c24backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 61.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 59.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 51.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…11a0backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 49.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 46.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…0afabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 45.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.