TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Cleveland Guardians, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Detroit Tigers73c399.18$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7867250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Cleveland Guardians27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers63c115.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Cleveland Guardians40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4084651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd9…c6dcbacked Detroit Tigers73c41.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42d…4d66backed Detroit Tigers74c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.951957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers63c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.788,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c47…8cccbacked Detroit Tigers73c36.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e5…7347backed Detroit Tigers73c35.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc52…5bd3backed Detroit Tigers73c33.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.131450%7 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c64…8220backed Detroit Tigers73c33.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.94850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa79c…b036backed Detroit Tigers73c32.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.861947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick65cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a04…ae3cbacked Detroit Tigers73c32.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21b…237bbacked Detroit Tigers73c32.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec2…3732backed Detroit Tigers73c32.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6413…5093backed Detroit Tigers74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians40c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.866,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc153…3f71backed Detroit Tigers74c31.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…6365backed Detroit Tigers73c31.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddf…3ff6backed Detroit Tigers74c31.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x039d…390abacked Detroit Tigers74c31.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3375…727bbacked Detroit Tigers73c30.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5992…2ad0backed Detroit Tigers74c30.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.011566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7fbcbacked Detroit Tigers73c30.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…6da5backed Detroit Tigers73c29.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.02955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x486e…aca1backed Detroit Tigers73c29.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2878…8698backed Detroit Tigers74c29.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.591070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…13b7backed Detroit Tigers74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.541353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…40adbacked Detroit Tigers74c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.431747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a7…4d52backed Detroit Tigers74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick68cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4484…eeadbacked Detroit Tigers73c28.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc8…8179backed Detroit Tigers74c28.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.491154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0359…2572backed Detroit Tigers74c28.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.46650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ef…1778backed Detroit Tigers74c28.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d69…bc81backed Detroit Tigers74c28.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…e8b3backed Detroit Tigers74c28.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2a7backed Detroit Tigers75c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc884…b79fbacked Detroit Tigers74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17c5…fbe1backed Detroit Tigers74c27.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2227…f6dcbacked Detroit Tigers73c27.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.451369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b8…d280backed Detroit Tigers74c27.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.151070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96c…1e56backed Detroit Tigers73c27.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.421266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3131…c7edbacked Detroit Tigers74c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.12887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+52.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x570a…fe3ebacked Detroit Tigers74c27.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…443bbacked Detroit Tigers73c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.342259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…ff8abacked Detroit Tigers73c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.34850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c4d…a945backed Detroit Tigers74c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.071471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de1…4947backed Detroit Tigers74c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.07366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba2…db1fbacked Detroit Tigers73c27.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.321050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…6e15backed Detroit Tigers74c27.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…fcf1backed Detroit Tigers73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a9…1df3backed Detroit Tigers74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick69cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdca7…0720backed Detroit Tigers74c26.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.991266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9202…18b0backed Detroit Tigers74c26.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88fa…bb82backed Detroit Tigers73c26.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.181872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40aa…b99bbacked Detroit Tigers74c26.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b2…9309backed Detroit Tigers73c26.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…3ee7backed Detroit Tigers73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.36per pick65cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7180…aa45backed Detroit Tigers73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.022065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f5…23fabacked Detroit Tigers74c25.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe485…da3fbacked Detroit Tigers74c25.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…b2fcbacked Detroit Tigers74c25.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.731560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f0…0f04backed Detroit Tigers74c25.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a6…f5d9backed Detroit Tigers74c25.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.662050%10 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14c7…b0c6backed Detroit Tigers74c25.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.631361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e76…5025backed Detroit Tigers74c25.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.581361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb34c…e5bebacked Detroit Tigers74c25.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.581250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x291e…2421backed Detroit Tigers74c25.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.581154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d1a…7451backed Detroit Tigers73c25.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick69cpaid-72.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01cd…2dc5backed Detroit Tigers74c24.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.45650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4141…b90fbacked Detroit Tigers74c24.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.451464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2655…77d2backed Detroit Tigers74c24.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.452272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b68…bfefbacked Detroit Tigers73c24.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5e…8a41backed Detroit Tigers74c24.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.371361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc859…b72cbacked Detroit Tigers74c24.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x233c…6996backed Detroit Tigers73c24.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.591457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf354…5645backed Detroit Tigers74c24.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.341369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f46…9f54backed Detroit Tigers74c24.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.341957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1f…0fdcbacked Detroit Tigers73c24.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b04…95d7backed Detroit Tigers74c24.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f2…f2c6backed Detroit Tigers74c23.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cf…ad38backed Detroit Tigers74c23.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.161258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7dd…4843backed Detroit Tigers73c23.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc106…19a6backed Detroit Tigers74c23.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6f…44e9backed Detroit Tigers73c23.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f6b…13b8backed Detroit Tigers74c23.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8349…abaebacked Detroit Tigers74c23.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.111968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a6…575abacked Detroit Tigers74c23.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.081040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6231…c97ebacked Detroit Tigers73c23.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x290b…394abacked Detroit Tigers74c23.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.061369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…e021backed Detroit Tigers74c23.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.031163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x390e…4fb7backed Detroit Tigers73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x744a…8045backed Detroit Tigers74c22.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993b…6a7ebacked Detroit Tigers74c22.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4324…174bbacked Detroit Tigers74c22.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4901…b52dbacked Detroit Tigers74c22.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick63cpaid+48.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b0d…1f81backed Detroit Tigers74c22.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.771850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…24a8backed Detroit Tigers74c22.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.771668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbe…3bfbbacked Detroit Tigers73c22.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b5c…a2ddbacked Detroit Tigers74c22.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.77540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.