Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22bd4adcf9d5817f2e050715812e42a5e56e2b00316dbeb8c4baadbe84e4880f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 5,286$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 59c | 4,514$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.44 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 42c | 3,810$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 2,802$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.88 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 2,544$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.48 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 31c | 1,586$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.52 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 39c | 921$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.81 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 451.32$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 61c | 416$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.76 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 202.14$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 46c | 171.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…24babacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 61c | 147.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 60c | 133.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 77c | 125.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 61c | 106.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 106.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…95b2backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…4067backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…b129backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +145%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…bc45backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked No | 62c | 97.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 60c | 93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed No | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 60c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 61c | 53.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…05e0backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 61c | 43.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 78c | 41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…751ebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 41c | 30.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5eaabacked No | 62c | 26.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.