TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No65c3,883$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.0813348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes34c3,824$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No63c3,797$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.214654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No65c3,396$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.0111355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No65c2,876$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No65c2,673$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.5514452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes34c2,350$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7929140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes35c2,210$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.520232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked No68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c1,290$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.391,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes11c1,209$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c1,018$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1723153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes34c1,005$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.811421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes35c991.43$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3471020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No66c916.86$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.351656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes34c910.85$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.693732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes41c900$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36811070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c766.41$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.931,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes35c706$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.14341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes34c592.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Yes34c582.35$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No68c544$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.92860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No61c540.33$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.954839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes67c469.27$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes35c419.91$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.972931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes36c408.11$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No67c371.75$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8323260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe605…f88dbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes37c263.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No68c241.37$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.071675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes62c223.76$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No66c213.11$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4612050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes47c205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.357546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No67c166.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.112755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes64c165.71$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.711540%6 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes33c164.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.175735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes63c158.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes65c154.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked No65c152.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.753145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa3b…24babacked Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2276…307bbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed No68c145.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No64c144.2$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.919051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No35c140.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.432369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No68c139.13$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0565…789abacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes33c129.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8219055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes31c128.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9521560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes36c126.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a30…fca1backed Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No67c116.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9120860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes35c115.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes70c106.3$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick69cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes34c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc327…8b66backed Yes48c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No67c85.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.282759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes35c83.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.371442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0d…59d0backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…5840backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf6…db19backed Yes69c75.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No68c65.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.082860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ab…7e31backed Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-79.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fae…9954backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc39d…4891backed Yes22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes34c52.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e16…981ebacked Yes57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…9803backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…42f6backed Yes60c47.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x188e…4812backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes34c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf87c…55b9backed Yes34c31.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8665…6facbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes61c30.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.431650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde2e…8cafbacked Yes56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed No67c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0822927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3f…7266backed Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x484f…28cbbacked No67c16.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.