Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e6f9f5fa5ba3dfb939554be1ac0e9a6ede34edee3850e589deef0987c28805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 31c | 5,073$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.28 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 4,708$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.67 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 47c | 284.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 255$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 27c | 249$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 209.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 181.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 71c | 181.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 29c | 181$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 32c | 163.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…76dfbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 71c | 84.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 32c | 82.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 18c | 57.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…bb47backed Yes | 28c | 50.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bb…09d2backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…05e0backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 70c | 41.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc673…ca1ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.