TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90b5…bc45

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.8
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.5
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$661.5
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$286
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$156.52
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$24.82
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$201.6
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$121.9
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100.75
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$295.8
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$39
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$318
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$708
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mississippi State vs. Texas A&Mbacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Arkansas vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$63.6
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+257.1%+$360
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.