College Football · resolved market
Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c0ccace5fc968e9721ffb390de1a5fd4556d04a305d03168a0ca1c49968133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Mississippi State, Texas A&M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mississippi State | 18c | 108,985$19,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,271.14 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mississippi State | 13c | 12,538$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.19 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Mississippi State | 15c | 5,753$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Texas A&M | 79c | 5,168$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.19 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Mississippi State | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mississippi State | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas A&M | 79c | 2,684$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.48 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…7122backed Mississippi State | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Mississippi State | 15c | 1,670$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas A&M | 78c | 1,516$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.01 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mississippi State | 12c | 1,003$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Texas A&M | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +743.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Texas A&M | 2c | 866.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.34 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Texas A&M | 76c | 579.83$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Mississippi State | 13c | 446.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Mississippi State | 16c | 445$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mississippi State | 9c | 408.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Mississippi State | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Mississippi State | 16c | 390.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…bc45backed Mississippi State | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Mississippi State | 25c | 287.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Mississippi State | 23c | 248.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Texas A&M | 79c | 204.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Texas A&M | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Mississippi State | 16c | 199.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Mississippi State | 14c | 183$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Mississippi State | 14c | 177.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…dfaebacked Mississippi State | 15c | 154.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mississippi State | 14c | 150.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mississippi State | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Mississippi State | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Mississippi State | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Mississippi State | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mississippi State | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mississippi State | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Mississippi State | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Mississippi State | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Mississippi State | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State vs. Texas A&Mthis page
- Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 56.5Under won
- O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5)Texas A&M won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-16.5)Texas A&M won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5)Texas A&M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.