Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a802a328b74409ef3002d362a2bc236630d82e68024b1096261755bc94ce6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 24c | 6,935$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.79 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 3,476$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.9 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 61c | 3,301$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.41 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 2,952$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.51 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 34c | 2,282$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.79 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 68c | 2,267$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 1,973$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.42 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 29c | 1,625$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.13 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 66c | 1,530$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.16 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 1,468$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 73c | 1,363$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.74 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 29c | 925.49$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.17 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 69c | 829.67$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 70c | 717.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.78 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 29c | 706.25$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 30c | 673.4$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.02 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 28c | 558.66$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 63c | 556.35$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…e46bbacked Yes | 70c | 489.31$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 26c | 387.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 70c | 358.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Yes | 71c | 336.62$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 70c | 318.82$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0219…61e7backed Yes | 71c | 264.26$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 30c | 257.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 80c | 233.62$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…238ebacked Yes | 67c | 205$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +252.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…95b2backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…bc45backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed Yes | 71c | 194.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yes | 80c | 165.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 60c | 159.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…f0bbbacked Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…f204backed No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6c58backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…f01dbacked Yes | 66c | 148.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 68c | 147.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 68c | 146.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 68c | 146.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…3d66backed Yes | 69c | 144.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…4506backed Yes | 80c | 144.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…e1dfbacked Yes | 69c | 143.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 71c | 139.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed No | 31c | 135.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x680c…e11dbacked Yes | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 70c | 113.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 112.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 21c | 103.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 68c | 80.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Yes | 69c | 76.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…6c7fbacked Yes | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 71c | 69.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…0429backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…8c60backed Yes | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ae…ccefbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…875bbacked Yes | 69c | 49.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a2…6714backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…79f0backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 68c | 40.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 67c | 37.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…9266backed Yes | 61c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c2…7817backed Yes | 71c | 31.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Yes | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…9437backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…2dbcbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…b7c5backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…04ddbacked Yes | 68c | 29.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…b289backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…a788backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…3c86backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…721dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…c215backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…6a44backed Yes | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…0f41backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…bb6bbacked Yes | 68c | 20.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…1466backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…6867backed Yes | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…5592backed Yes | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will New Zealand win on 2025-10-09?No won
- Will Poland vs. New Zealand end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.