Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f5d6888559b6707540e591f4cb30ae07bd04b32e1b034e5933fda984246fc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 46c | 2,622$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.59 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 58c | 941.6$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.57 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 693.9$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.15 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 47c | 597.92$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 47c | 533.63$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 533.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.11 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 47c | 523.8$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.61 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 37c | 491.95$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.15 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 56c | 413$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 56c | 406.03$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.55 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef11…a7a1backed Yes | 32c | 362.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.68 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 342.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 31c | 308.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.97 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 276.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 49c | 274.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 46c | 256.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 239$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 38c | 238.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 216.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 44c | 214.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 208.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 30c | 196$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 46c | 190.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 38c | 180.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 65c | 180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 66c | 176.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 174.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 170.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 159.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 51c | 157.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 64c | 154$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 70c | 143.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 35c | 120.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 117.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 115.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 110.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 110$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 32c | 103.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 58c | 101.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…bb20backed Yes | 74c | 94.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 33c | 92.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 35c | 84.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…7126backed No | 57c | 79.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 44c | 76.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…2b60backed Yes | 29c | 75.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +93%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 74.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 34c | 72.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 37c | 68.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 56c | 66.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 50c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…2980backed Yes | 48c | 62.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…bedcbacked No | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 66c | 55.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 55.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed No | 57c | 54.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 41c | 51.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 50.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…bc45backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 28c | 46.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed Yes | 34c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 42c | 45.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 45c | 43.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…100abacked Yes | 30c | 41.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 58c | 39.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 45c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 36c | 38.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Yes | 33c | 38.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed Yes | 33c | 38.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 43c | 37.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 65c | 36.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 35.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 66c | 34.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 48c | 33.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4122backed No | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 35c | 31.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 28.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 28.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 69c | 25.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 165 | 66.1%109 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 64c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.