Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455e5b934806e9187255e51dccf86f30122768f02a4157e6fe16eee81e8a0b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 28c | 40,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 61c | 14,222$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,546.57 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 3,897$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Yes | 60c | 2,484$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 37c | 1,800$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 770.74$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 726.55$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.74 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 636.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.84 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 537.32$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 36c | 370$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 37c | 272.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 35c | 218.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 38c | 126.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 122.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 72.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 59c | 72.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9911…b38abacked Yes | 59c | 68.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 53.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 59c | 51.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 36c | 29.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…c116backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…1176backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…bb16backed No | 65c | 16.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 68c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 69c | 15.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Molde FK win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.