Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c63de79217a37c3ddffe15be783f607e392b378aa006c547eab966c999a988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 3,525$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 3,301$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 34c | 2,966$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 1,705$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.22 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 1,131$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.89 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,117$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 62c | 1,080$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 38c | 829$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.02 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 766.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 61c | 593.47$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.33 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 21c | 540$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 66c | 404.39$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 389.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 38c | 312.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 69c | 307.39$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 297.31$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 39c | 274.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 273$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 13c | 266.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 31c | 159.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 35c | 157.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 36c | 137.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 26c | 115.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 82.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…e8fabacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 60c | 78.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 34c | 77.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 33c | 62.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 37c | 61.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f691backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…f983backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…3735backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…76d8backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 38.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 37c | 30.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…63afbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…7a1abacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 61c | 20.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…1176backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-12?this page
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-12?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.