Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c66691e416e63ad03f395812956b4514bb474817374a902c3026f708b9006bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,808.53 | 368 | 42.9%158 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 66c | 18,771$12,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,382.05 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 3,373$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,874$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.22 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Yes | 25c | 999$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 838$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 702.1$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.47 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 34c | 590.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 562.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 499.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 66c | 455$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 421.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 375.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Yes | 32c | 310.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 68c | 276$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 34c | 273.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 271.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 66c | 243.34$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 74c | 235.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 20c | 204.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 21c | 179.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 30c | 162.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 156.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 137.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 1,157 | 53.1%614 W · 543 L | +43.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 135.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 18c | 106.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…e8fabacked Yes | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…f983backed Yes | 32c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…5d42backed Yes | 26c | 45.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 71c | 44.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 70c | 40.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 33c | 38.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 34c | 35.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…a875backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…3614backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed No | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…abfabacked No | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…c729backed No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-12?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.