Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15cca072fcca1a4a2e90dc17ca85a811e2058e0ea50ca75068d124e80be30e2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 33c | 2,934$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 72c | 1,368$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 4c | 754$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 721.6$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 46c | 642.07$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.35 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 569.37$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 462.59$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 458.83$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 59c | 426.83$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 27c | 354.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 341.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.96 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0bd6backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +221%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 187.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 31c | 149.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 62c | 145.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Yes | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 41c | 109.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 63c | 88.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 66c | 41.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 72c | 26.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 50c | 24.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-12?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.