La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8476cbcdc9a8dbf14789c9c4fcd991854d98dcbfdd14ed5f10972692ee3bfb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 8,467$6,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.7 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 5,052$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.76 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 3,050$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,626$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.77 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,710$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,317$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 80c | 1,126$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 1,014$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.55 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 904$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 786.14$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 757$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…c567backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…230fbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes | 24c | 206.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 25c | 200.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 24c | 199.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 75c | 128.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 126$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 28c | 118.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 76c | 115$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 102.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…1eb7backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 88.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…c886backed Yes | 28c | 86.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…b658backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…b59bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 27c | 61.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 26c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…cad3backed Yes | 28c | 50.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 21c | 48.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 77c | 25.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Alaves vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Alaves win on 2025-10-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.