La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc03b18ce206770af9dcc089494fbc85d8500f845fbe267acbf1840a8656ed1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 2c | 5,870$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 44c | 3,725$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 1,999$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.48 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 59c | 1,537$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,350$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.15 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 56c | 1,228$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.61 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,123$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 45c | 1,109$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 998.85$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 60c | 837.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 755.53$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.97 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 58c | 383.7$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.13 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 263.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 40c | 249.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 43c | 233.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 38c | 198.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 20c | 159$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 59c | 125.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 57c | 124.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 41c | 102$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 42c | 68.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes | 47c | 64.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 40c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed No | 58c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 56c | 28.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Alaves vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.