TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No21c38,435$8,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,006.734,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes64c30,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No36c13,260$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,773.619459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No0c7,019$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.194621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No37c5,626$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.4815750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes62c4,728$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.524942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No37c3,791$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.579536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No36c2,911$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.2429545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes63c1,236$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.335646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No20c1,162$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.87445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No4c1,030$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No8c1,009$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9612050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No38c888.14$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.264528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.252857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes63c760.59$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No25c687.83$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No36c561.84$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2625648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes63c540$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1926545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.757045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes78c458.45$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.861861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes61c452.76$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.881872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54f0…225ebacked Yes64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No39c399.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.994753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ba…9fbcbacked No36c399.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes63c365.43$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.431020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes63c365.08$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.085367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No37c333.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.787953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2190…bc21backed Yes64c330$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0a…46a4backed No24c330$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes62c322.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.465451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes64c317.06$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e8…0596backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes63c290.15$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.363571.4%25 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes63c252.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.614540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb31…b83fbacked Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes64c243.75$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.752751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45a…a03ebacked Yes62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes63c239.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.443562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdab…088abacked Yes62c239$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes63c217$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.295841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1987…01d9backed No39c207.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No37c177.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.856535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c168.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.893,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b69…3c31backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x243e…e295backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…d74dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed No38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf614…689abacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712a…8ef9backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2523855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd26b…3d2cbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834b…1fa7backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9315…a73fbacked Yes64c141.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Yes64c130$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No37c127.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.238552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b75…4896backed Yes63c127.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x658d…859fbacked Yes64c127.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…be29backed Yes64c126.31$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.624145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked No36c119.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.192133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…078abacked Yes61c112.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Yes62c112.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.144854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…08d7backed No38c112$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No38c111.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be7…8d02backed No38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick31cpaid-79.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes64c101.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5617643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371675%12 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a8…e268backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374850%24 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3619344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed No38c97.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0196…d9f9backed Yes63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…27b1backed Yes63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes63c82.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.663565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6520047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes62c80.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.314100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes64c78.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.137361.6%45 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c8…f2aabacked Yes63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.492955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.495648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.