TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No49c11,549$5,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,877.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No53c6,814$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.932326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes52c6,060$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1501464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No47c5,817$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.1828133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes48c4,400$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9423622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c4,391$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.4121140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No49c4,375$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.048240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes52c4,076$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No78c3,866$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.162166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+70.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes48c3,254$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.825538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes50c1,878$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9394346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c1,758$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed No48c1,555$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.645238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa93b…440cbacked Yes53c1,512$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No50c1,500$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.5522041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No48c1,338$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.824647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes57c1,329$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.048855.7%49 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd58…99bebacked Yes70c1,209$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes53c1,112$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.121353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0d…f056backed Yes52c1,059$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes52c962.73$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9642…d2abbacked Yes51c782.35$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39950%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No45c735$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6122634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf141…d9aabacked Yes53c608.82$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.811020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes51c570.53$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes68c514.71$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Yes49c512.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2608748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4325…aed2backed Yes52c443.69$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No48c417$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8414040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes53c379.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes79c354.93$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6928731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes51c308.2$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1573351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes51c275.76$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+158.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No54c264.11$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.491747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252055%11 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes51c251.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+142.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No46c219.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5716244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes54c217.81$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ed…583abacked Yes52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041030%3 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a5…e1dfbacked Yes51c195.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes68c194.43$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8322959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes51c193.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+200.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce9…3717backed Yes48c167.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No54c153.23$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2310944%48 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9920036%72 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No60c139.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.846643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes52c138.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes51c116$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-67.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes48c105.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5413654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfca8…4f41backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01bb…21f5backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6816…859abacked Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes49c92.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.671,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012644.4%56 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a30…fca1backed Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes52c76.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Yes47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.813235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a82…a163backed Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2910056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No35c56.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.949667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3507…475abacked Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No50c47.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.596643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb8…450dbacked Yes54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x595d…a92fbacked Yes48c41.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes47c40.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e44…393abacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb03…2276backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes53c37.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb982…aef7backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e63…4b3ebacked No50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Yes51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Yes47c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84c5…413bbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…931fbacked No49c28.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes51c28.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.439850%49 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Yes65c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.