Us Politics · resolved market
Will AG Blanche meet with Ghislaine Maxwell by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99931b1a9a8f1caeb40d44bbeea1d2948494c5e7ffe45c9b683d50fdb218d237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 3c | 7,206$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.46 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 75c | 3,033$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.61 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 2,947$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 7c | 2,669$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,973$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.21 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…0f89backed No | 4c | 1,344$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 5c | 1,135$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 44c | 820$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 29c | 769.04$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.52 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 28c | 757.82$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 67c | 734.92$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.7 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 6c | 649.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 58c | 644.15$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 4c | 584.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…5aafbacked Yes | 15c | 442.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +182.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 412.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…73e9backed No | 64c | 372.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 4c | 362.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 37c | 331.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 58c | 260.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 64c | 230$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked No | 57c | 175.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 16c | 150.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 39c | 129.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes | 78c | 120.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…c06fbacked No | 71c | 120$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 40c | 105.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 39c | 101.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 16c | 100.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed No | 70c | 97.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 12c | 89.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked No | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 72c | 82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 25c | 77.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…84cdbacked Yes | 65c | 76.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 34c | 61.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 60c | 61.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…94e9backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes | 63c | 50.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…1305backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…dfefbacked No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f00…7e3cbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…ba60backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b8…df05backed No | 79c | 35.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…081ebacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…fc76backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed No | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…7a95backed No | 67c | 20.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd672…9680backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…c3a1backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…e688backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.39per pick | 57cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.