Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7e46c554ffecca57fff0f22f2a2c3ba9f7a5a518976179ad251468aeb8a1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 33c | 1,029$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 31c | 837$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes | 69c | 529.52$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…acf5backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…cdbebacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 261$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…ce41backed Yes | 70c | 212.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 33c | 185.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 64c | 160$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 69c | 153.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…3758backed Yes | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…d322backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…681bbacked Yes | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…7127backed Yes | 69c | 86.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…1876backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 71.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…418abacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 34c | 69.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 66c | 65.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa437…3422backed Yes | 70c | 64.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…a912backed Yes | 69c | 63.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 66c | 54.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bd…ae02backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 43.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 69c | 40.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 70c | 40.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6690…a056backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…c9eebacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…1079backed Yes | 67c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…c165backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Vitória SC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.