Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62c3a01946a883dab7c55a299d86e323311769d3459481f77acb80bce82e6345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 18c | 4,882$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.79 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 74c | 4,115$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.77 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 27c | 2,469$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.18 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 25c | 1,930$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.53 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 74c | 1,359$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.59 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 11c | 839.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 30c | 596.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 18c | 444$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 69c | 425.92$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 356$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 349.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 72c | 347.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Yes | 76c | 343$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 74c | 337.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 22c | 320.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 72c | 292.88$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…fb23backed No | 32c | 226.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 9c | 155.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 29c | 150.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 28c | 127.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 67c | 110.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 30c | 99.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…8b70backed Yes | 69c | 92.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6d…2a58backed Yes | 69c | 76.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…963ebacked Yes | 72c | 73.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe449…57cfbacked Yes | 69c | 61.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Yes | 71c | 56.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e9…05b8backed Yes | 74c | 51.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…f1babacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 74c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes | 76c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?No won
- Will New England Revolution win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.