TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd178…6703backed Yes56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.973839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes59c19,000$11,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7901050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes74c15,059$11,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,972.678755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No43c14,765$6,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,301.213444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No43c11,120$4,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,742.945536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No41c10,461$4,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,289.133748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes66c8,086$5,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.653,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No3c4,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No44c4,033$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.525532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No43c3,018$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.815763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No44c2,986$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3142540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No44c2,486$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.841866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+73.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes57c2,281$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes59c2,272$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.747851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes59c2,049$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.341947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9126…a984backed Yes57c1,956$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc97e…5340backed No44c1,956$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…70edbacked No44c1,939$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…07babacked Yes57c1,939$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+377.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ff…1e37backed Yes57c1,930$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…fe62backed No45c1,929$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes55c1,922$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.0233055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c6…828cbacked Yes57c1,892$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d46…8029backed No45c1,883$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…3428backed No44c1,845$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+64.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…4c3bbacked Yes57c1,845$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c1,715$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5912955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63010452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No42c1,473$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4815151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No41c1,419$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.710960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes75c1,250$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked No42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes55c1,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No42c1,026$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.921060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No41c999.96$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9820132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked No41c998.39$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c917.24$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7220050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes73c897.59$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.354658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No35c887.04$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.973122.6%7 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-55.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No2c780.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes59c749.07$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.854447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No6c742$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.524551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No41c712.14$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.562352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes71c607.22$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.452,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No43c599.75$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.896949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d64…1e9dbacked Yes57c525$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d02…edbfbacked Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes60c503.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.63237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x852e…adb0backed Yes56c497$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed Yes57c407.02$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes59c363.49$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes59c338.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ea…86abbacked No31c327.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No41c299.97$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9910332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes55c293.67$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1515846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes79c273$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1315376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2414733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.58456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x858b…b832backed Yes57c228.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No22c215$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.420042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x952d…25a9backed Yes59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No44c188.57$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.261030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…a1d0backed Yes59c181.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4113552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb8…744cbacked Yes58c170.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked Yes59c169.72$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed No44c163.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.852454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked No42c158.38$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.551330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes55c149.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No41c144$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0424655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes74c142.79$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1324557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5066…8b02backed Yes59c142.73$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No43c139.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.112269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes55c136.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.753060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes65c134.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.43171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.584854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes57c119.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes59c107.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.28453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.