La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23dcf25f55983932be3638dad0c80ae1ff2f48ba9749a9f28f8a9bcb161363c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked No | 79c | 12,652$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 26c | 5,041$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.23 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…1786backed Yes | 27c | 3,720$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 3,399$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.92 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 27c | 3,201$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 3,077$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.62 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 2,122$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.22 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,983$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.65 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 1,982$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.22 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 10c | 1,388$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,198$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.12 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 24c | 729.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 26c | 642.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 513.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 80c | 501.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 490.81$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 481$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…9c11backed Yes | 4c | 410.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 75c | 267.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 226.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…3d37backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…62d5backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 21c | 198.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…83f7backed No | 75c | 197.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 75c | 180.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 13c | 165.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 26c | 154.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 25c | 137$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…19ddbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…899fbacked No | 76c | 131.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 21c | 126$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 25c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 27c | 95.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 78c | 80.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…5f46backed Yes | 28c | 80.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 80.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 75c | 75.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…a203backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed No | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed No | 75c | 42.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…a303backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 74c | 33.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…a228backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…ead5backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…16f2backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…4883backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…f2fabacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…d071backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…3ab7backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e7…d51dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9f85backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will Valencia vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.