La Liga · resolved market
Valencia vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dcdaac7a0b3bca7ba2d8e93a805db198721668329035cada1a91ca5d1fb49dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 46,971$22,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,661.36 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 54c | 13,753$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,426.52 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.87 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 53c | 5,654$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 4,896$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…f556backed Over | 52c | 4,038$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 3,370$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.35 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 2,373$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.91 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 54c | 2,240$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.59 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 1,497$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.67 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over | 53c | 1,427$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,093$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 61c | 558.78$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 49c | 434.69$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…e215backed Over | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 52c | 210.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 47c | 195.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 47c | 144.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 140.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…7e67backed Under | 47c | 107.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 51c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…4be7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 52c | 91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 51c | 78.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 33c | 75.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 52c | 63.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc22…b893backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 48c | 34.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 48c | 28.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Valencia (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Valencia vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Valencia vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.