La Liga · resolved market
Valencia vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48072117828a2fae9ee96a90f13a495b1d3a10a34efa4c500c2009793c940b6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,739$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 39c | 604$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 480.06$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 38c | 479.84$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.34 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 24c | 405$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 76c | 370.34$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 22c | 368.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.86 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 78c | 291.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 25c | 282.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…7d17backed Over | 78c | 120.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 74c | 110$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Over | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 75.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 23c | 49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 61c | 40.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…4388backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…a884backed Over | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1dddbacked Over | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Over | 76c | 20.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…4661backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 78c | 19.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Valencia (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Valencia vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Valencia vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.