TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes46c30,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,8008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No54c23,090$12,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,621.383265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No55c12,551$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,710.5510752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c4,554$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.21,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes47c4,233$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.452128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No54c3,129$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.114052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c2,893$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.361,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c2,374$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.8562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No53c2,015$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9475354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c1,939$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.4312839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes26c1,936$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No54c1,931$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.161172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No57c1,700$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.0337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c1,673$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.8771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No51c1,486$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No54c1,158$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.323151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes47c1,147$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.5133938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes46c1,082$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No52c999.98$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.991136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes40c996.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No55c995$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.759140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes39c777$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1624642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes43c769.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.191625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c713.04$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3626845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c654.36$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed Yes46c647.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes48c615.79$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.581040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes44c600$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.673748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c577$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7914337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No54c571.89$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0714654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c538$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2457146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes46c472.93$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.555060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No51c462.47$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.525129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0eb…4aafbacked Yes48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No58c341.35$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.747252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes46c320$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.29156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x497f…da80backed Yes48c307.83$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No54c289$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes48c272.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes39c271.64$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.949641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No57c223.06$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.983562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.994751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e11…b5a8backed Yes45c193.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.311644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ca…3d37backed No54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d9…f53abacked Yes46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No56c148.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3612343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No53c122.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2623153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes46c122.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.443636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No50c119.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No50c119.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.899858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Yes46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa047…f4c5backed Yes47c109.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes47c107.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+130.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes50c101.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.697735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes50c100.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1473…a1abbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4927244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c2…57d4backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2a49backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No53c94.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Yes43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fa…6745backed No53c86.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa087…16f2backed Yes47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.