TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked No61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.9721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes39c27,051$10,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,550520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes39c20,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.992839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c3,598$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.227737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes16c2,616$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.222,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No62c1,588$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.4421058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes39c1,410$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c1,358$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.4993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed No63c1,167$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.391457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes15c1,093$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No63c1,040$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.65850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36de…1a78backed Yes38c900$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No61c799.98$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9912657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes20c676$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c667.14$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes8c629.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.561,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d6f…b384backed No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Yes39c510$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes39c495.72$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.332441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes15c421.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6515550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes11c414.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.574727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No63c409.97$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.695556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes39c336.85$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.377337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes35c334.29$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No61c333.33$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes38c330$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7afb…61eabacked Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…ef4ebacked No62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes5c296$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.134717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes22c287.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes38c276$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8813840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes28c269.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.235740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe42…9222backed Yes39c243.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes39c221.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6920841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb52…4d7abacked Yes8c143.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes38c134$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.922661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes39c129.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes21c129$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.831250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes12c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.928445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Yes9c114.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.273243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes37c100.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c72…9567backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3811666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No61c98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2213152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…8682backed Yes38c91.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.64540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1706…f054backed Yes38c85.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308a…5d3abacked No62c85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes39c74.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9819549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked No67c68.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes22c67.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd659…4abbbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No62c52.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.112536%9 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x760d…deaabacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.248065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes24c51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No61c45.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c40.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No75c35.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0113639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3128…88febacked Yes39c30.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6e…7c28backed No63c30.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.713350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes38c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6412049.2%59 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fdd…7245backed No62c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec1…f195backed No63c22.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No61c21.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.314151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb543…9961backed No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No62c19.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.363658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No61c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4112453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae87…a821backed No63c17.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.